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July 31, 2007
"there were no politics, just actions to do what was right"
Posted by Bill I just ran across this Marine's blog post from April, in which he paid me a high compliment by linking here. I'll excerpt it, though you absolutely should read the whole thing: when i returned from iraq, i really had no desire to talk about my experience and my opinion of the war, and to a large extent, that feeling has remained. this isn't because i suffered traumatically and just the sharing my experiences conjures up terrifying memories which haunt me at night. quite the contrary. i've had a couple dreams where i've woken up in cold sweats, but i think that's just a natural occurrence from being in a stressful environment to a more "relaxed" or inane environment where the biggest dilemma you face for the day is what you'll be having for dinner. but its been over a year that i've been back now, in fact its been a year and two weeks, and many of those feelings have become a little diluted and normalcy has returned to my life where i too ponder on what to eat. PS - Frankin Foer: I hear you've got a writing position open ... how about publishing that perspective? Posted by Bill at 04:37 AM
July 30, 2007
"A War We Just Might Win"
Posted by Bill Michael O'Hanlon and Kenneth Pollack of Brookings write an op-ed in the NYT: VIEWED from Iraq, where we just spent eight days meeting with American and Iraqi military and civilian personnel, the political debate in Washington is surreal. The Bush administration has over four years lost essentially all credibility. Yet now the administration's critics, in part as a result, seem unaware of the significant changes taking place. Pollack is a serious thinker and author of both The Threatening Storm: The Case for Invading Iraq and The Persian Puzzle: The Conflict Between Iran and America (highly recommended). He was a heavily equivocating supporter of initial invasion and an early critic of the post-war planning and execution. To various individuals it's relevant that he's a former CIA analyst and a Clinton-era NSC staffer. Having read the two aforementioned, exhaustively detailed books, I have a lot of respect for his opinion. (Via Hot Air) UPDATE: Dean Barnett (among others, no doubt) characterizes Brookings as a "hard left" institution, which would add Nixon-to-China credibility to the op-ed. I often like Barnett's writing, but he's enthusiastically off in that description. It's fair to say that Brookings falls left of center, but labeling it (and by extension, the authors) "hard left" is inaccurate and diminishes both analysis of the op-ed and the definition of "hard left" itself. That said, it's still notable that such serious, high-profile critics of the war's execution see progress now. UPDATE: And to err on the side of caution, Joe Klein brings up a good point: I agree with many, but not all, of the conclusions Ken Pollack and Michael O'Hanlon reach in this NY Times column, but you really can't write a piece about the wae in Iraq and devote only two sentences to the political situation, which is disastrous and, as Petraeus has said, will determine the success or failure of the overall effort. Tabling Klein's decision to use the word "disastrous," any military gains are indeed just buying time and space for political progress. My guess is that O'Hanlon and Pollack assumed the reader might know that. UPDATE: And we must note the inevitable and predictable Glenn Greenwald pushback on the op-ed, where he seeks to undermine the credibility of the authors by painting them as "yes-men." He starts with quotations of an interview done with O'Hanlon in 2003, where the analyst asserts that the counterinsurgency is going "fairly well" and minimizes the violence. Problematically for Greenwald, at various times the Iraq war has gone better than others - the bombing of the Al-Askari Mosque in 2006 being the real turning point for the road to hell-in-a-handbasket - and this Greenwaldian ignorance of context (sometimes willfull, sometimes not) sets one's teeth grinding. The descent of the policy was not irrevocably obvious in the first year of the occupation, except to those who had predetermined Iraq's fate as a hellish one spurred by US intervention. And Pollack (one half of what Greenwald refers to as the "war cheerleading pair,' despite the Salon post's focus on O'Hanlon) did levy criticisms in 2004: Mourning After: How They Screwed It Up Pollack also addressed the tendency of war critics to pre-emptively assume Iraq a failure in late 2006: ** It never had to be this bad. The reconstruction of Iraq was never going to be quick or easy, but it was not doomed to failure.[1] Its disastrous course to date has been almost entirely the result of a sequence of foolish and unnecessary mistakes on the part of the United States. What follows is a scathing critique of the Administration's execution of the war. Other criticisms were levied in Slate's "Liberal Hawks Reconsider the Iraq War.' The fact that Pollack aggressively recognized and publiclized failures in Iraq lends at least some credibility to his caveated change of heart today. No matter what Greenwald's automated rebuttal template injects into the debate. UPDATE: Dave Price: Gleen's [Greenwald's] target audience has always been those easily fooled by weak arguments, or, dare I say, exercises in deceit. In 2003 and early 2004 most observers thought the effort was going well; we had, after all, just removed the regime in a three-week campaign. You can find approving noises from nearly everyone right of Cindy Sheeham in this time period; enthusiasm was so high Ted Kennedy accused Bush of "cooking up" the war "for political gain," which seems pretty laughable today. Approval for Bush's handling of Iraq was as high as 75% in 2003 and as high as 55% in early 2004, then trended downward as most observers, including the Brookings guys, took increasing violence as an indication the effort was not going very well; up until that point, what complaints there were generally centered around the lack of WMD and failure to capture Saddam. So it's hard to accuse Brookings of being overly sympathetic to the war effort on that basis. ** Note: I don't necessarily agree with Pollack's assessment that the war's "disastrous course to date has been almost entirely the result of a sequence of foolish and unnecessary mistakes on the part of the United States." The decrepit state of Iraq's civic institutions and spirit were more of a factor, though I agree that the post-war plan seriously screwed up the attempt at pacification and reconstruction. The point of the link - that Pollack has criticized the conduct of the war - remains, however. Posted by Bill at 10:38 AM
"Baghdad Raid Night"
Posted by Bill Michael Totten heads out on a night raid with the 82nd Airborne: "Four more to west," said a soldier. "They're running." Read the rest. Posted by Bill at 09:53 AM
July 27, 2007
Quotable
Posted by Bill "As anyone can plainly see, I'm 5-6 1/2 and a strapping 150, and unlike some people, I came by all of it naturally." You and me both Bob, you and me both. Heh. Posted by Bill at 08:32 PM
July 26, 2007
Realism
Posted by Bill Bruce Kesler features former POW Mike Benge's review of "Rescue Dawn:" If I were inclined to have nightmares, "Rescue Dawn" would have given me some bad ones; luckily I'm not. I wasn't a pilot like Dieter Dengler; but I shared similar experiences as a civilian POW. For once, Hollywood got it right thanks to Herzog who captured the blood, sweat, tears, fear, emotions, hunger, the steaming and unrelenting jungle, and the fragility of man under the degrading and filthy conditions of POWs in the jungle camps of Indochina. Between this endorsement and Herzog's impressive curriculum vitae, it sounds like a must-see. Posted by Bill at 11:24 AM
July 25, 2007
Quotable
Posted by Bill "The only thing standing between Iraq and a descent into a Lebanon - or Bosnia-like maelstrom," a new report from the liberal-leaning Brookings Institution concludes, "is 135,000 American troops." Rapid withdrawal, the report says, could bring "a humanitarian nightmare" in which "we should expect hundreds of thousands (conceivably even millions) of people to die." Link. Posted by Bill at 09:57 AM
July 20, 2007
"Welcome to Baghdad"
Posted by Bill At the start of his trip to Iraq, Michael Totten captures a couple of things really well: the endless suck that is military travel, and the frustrating catch-22's of being an embed: I would have been in trouble if I hadn't met these two guys. I may have been deposited in the reasonably safe Green Zone, but wandering around loose on my own in Baghdad, in the middle of the night, hauling 100 pounds of luggage, sleep-deprived, in extreme heat, and with nowhere to sleep does not put me in my happy place. Heh. Posted by Bill at 10:56 AM
July 12, 2007
Support Citizen Journalism!
Posted by Bill The most excellent Bill Roggio goes 501(c)(3). Posted by Bill at 04:24 PM
Must-Watch
Posted by Bill Senator McCain on Iraq and the New York Times. Posted by Bill at 04:23 PM
July 11, 2007
Quotable
Posted by Bill JD Johannes on the Anbar Awakening: "Admission that they were wrong is tantamount to self-identity suicide." Paging Thomas Ricks ... One fellow who can apparently admit error on a different topic is Uncle J from Blackfive, here mourning his support for Rumsefeld long past when a legitimate counterinsurgency strategy was due. I agree, and stand similarly chastened, especially after absorbing books like Assassin's Gate and the testimony of various military commanders critical of the Pentagon's conduct of the war. There's a tendency with any entrenched position - in this case the search for a successful Iraq - to react 180 degrees to a wave of criticism perceived as unfair. I went into detail on this back in September: Read More » Posted by Bill at 09:41 AM
July 10, 2007
Strategy Page Gets it Right (Again)
Posted by Bill Previously I highlighted a Strategy Page analysis on what is probably the most pressing challenge to a successful Iraqi state: Corruption and lack of civic spirit continue to be the biggest problems in Iraq. This sort of thing does not make loud noises, so does not get into the mass media much. But what is done about corruption, will have more to do with Iraqs future, than the battle with terrorists. This echoes my conclusions exactly. Today's SP analysis achieves consensus again: The war in Iraq is notable not because it is against guerillas or terrorists, but because of the large number of armed opposition groups that are, for all intents and purposes, criminal gangs. Such organizations have been around here for thousands of years, but Saddam made them more powerful by incorporating the loyal ones into his security organization. Maybe it was something he learned from the Russians (the KGB loved to work with gangsters), but it left post Saddam Iraq awash in criminal gangs. Sunni Arab gangs grew rich, Kurd and Shia gangs got constant heat. Many quickly discovered that there was money to be made by giving yourself a nationalistic or Islamic name and declaring loyalty to the cause of Sunni Arab supremacy. Al Qaeda and Saddam's old allies had cash and cachet that made the gangs more powerful. All they had to do was support the bombing program and attacks on cops and soldiers (local and foreign). Since many of these attacks were paid for, the gangs treated it like another bit of business, even if 90 percent of the attacks on U.S. troops failed. Their paymasters understood. The whole thing is a must-read if you want to understand the fight in Iraq. And here are some of my previous thoughts on the same topic: But as noted by Bryan Preston's write-up on the nature of "civil war," as well as my comments on Pundit Review and Mary Madigan's assessment of gangsterism in the larger war on terror, the popular perception of an Islamic civil war in Iraq is partially correct but incomplete, as there are major swaths of Iraqi society that aren't taking sides. In addition to outside players simply looking to sow chaos and destabilize Iraq to expedite an end to American involvement, much of the current violence is best described as splintered gangs vying to fill the power vacuum left after Saddam's deposal. Religion is often either besides the point, or used as a convenient demarcation. More detail on this power vacuum can be found in this radio interview with Pundit Review. Latest Strategy Page article via Dave Price, who has further thoughts. Posted by Bill at 03:55 PM
July 09, 2007
Vid
Posted by Bill Erick Stakelbeck interviews former jihadist Dr. Tawfik Hamid. Teaser: what role does sexual suppression play in violent jihad, and how are Shia different from Sunni in this regard? Posted by Bill at 09:50 AM
July 08, 2007
Changing Attitudes
Posted by Bill A must-read from Micheal Yon: I've seen this kind of progression in Mosul, out in Anbar and other places, and when I ask our military leaders if they have sensed any shift, many have said, yes, they too sense that Iraqis view us differently. In the context of sectarian and tribal strife, we are the tribe that people can - more or less and with giant caveats - rely on. I can back up his observation with my own experience. In January I interviewed a "Fallujan civil servant" who had to remain anonymous because of security and legal concerns. One detail I can now comfortably add is that this man was a former insurgent with the 1920 Revolution Brigades. But now ... He then said that he'd like to tell me two things, but warned me that one may anger Americans, and he hoped they didn't get upset. While this ideological shift doesn't apply to all Iraqis by any means, better late than never. But perhaps too late. Posted by Bill at 09:50 PM
July 02, 2007
"Naval Legend," RIP
Posted by Bill This man's story needs to be read to be believed. A teaser: On Jan. 25, 1945, Adm. Fluckey embarked on what Navy officials, seldom given to hyperbole, called "virtually a suicide mission -- a naval epic." In "an exceptional feat of brilliant deduction and bold tracking," in the words of his Medal of Honor citation, Adm. Fluckey found more than 30 Japanese vessels lurking in a concealed harbor protected by mines and rocky shoals. Posted by Bill at 02:08 PM
Hezbollah & Iran Killing US Soldiers in Iraq
Posted by Bill Verified: Posted by Bill at 08:29 AM
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