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October 19, 2006
Iraq Updates

Posted by Bill

*** The Thin Green Line

This violent weekend proves that America needs to radically change its course in Iraq, while some form of victory still lies within our grasp. First, the U.S. military must reverse its trend of consolidation and redeploy its forces into Iraq's cities. Efficiency and force protection cannot define our military footprint in Iraq; if those are our goals, we may as well bring our troops home today. Instead, we must assume risk by pushing U.S. forces out into small patrol bases in the middle of Iraq's cities where they are able to work closely with Iraqi leaders and own the streets. Counterinsurgency requires engagement.
...
Phillip Carter, an attorney and former Army officer, writes on legal and military affairs. He recently returned from a year advising the Iraqi police in Baqubah with the Army's 101st Airborne Division.


*** Militias Splintering Into Radicalized Cells


*** Is Moqtada al Sadr Irrelevant?

Posted by Bill at October 19, 2006 08:52 PM | TrackBack (0)

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Comments

Sadr is not only not the monolithic, unquestioned commander of the Mahdi "Army" militias, the more ambitious groups actually try to kill him periodically.

Sadr's game seems to be to let the IA and Coalition attrit the more radical militias, while decrying such actions to gain internal Shia political advantage. Like everyone in Iraq right now, he's hedging his bets between the military and political.

The most interesting aspect to this so far is the relative competence of the IA. They seem have to 5:1 or 10:1 kill ratios in every engagement with Sadr's people, who are basically street gangs with AKs and RPGs. With the Kurdish militias remaining essentially passive, that makes the IA the pre-eminent native active military force in the country.

Remember, there were major civil wars every decade of Saddam's rule. He was just the biggest, baddest, best-funded gangster in a country full of them. The violence may get a lot worse before they’re all dealt with. Ultimately, though, that task will fall to Iraqis.

Posted by: TallDave at October 20, 2006 02:22 PM

I acutally think taking out al Sadr would probably cause more violence due to the fact that even though he may not control his "Army" but that they still look up to him and his words. It seems that one of the major problems of Iraq is that the people causing all of the ruckus have no fear. Societies are based on creating enogh fear in the people to keep them from doing whatever they want whenever they want. Once that fear is created, then societies can begin to use the carrot to pursuade people.
And in the same sense of South Park, How does one create fear in one who has none?

Posted by: Big Mac w/ anEgg at October 20, 2006 06:57 PM