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October 26, 2005
The Hard Numbers on Army Recruiting

Posted by Dorkafork
For those interested:
Fiscal year Goal Actual Percentage
2000 80,000 80,113 100
2001 75,800 75,855 100
2002 79,500 79,585 100
2003 73,800 74,132 100
2004 77,000 77,586 101
2005 80,000 73,400 92
(source here(pdf) page 8 (labeled page 6) Table 1. Numbers for 2005 via this Mudville Gazette post)

Important note: This is by fiscal year. A post-9/11 increase in recruiting would almost entirely show up in the 2002 numbers. (FY2002 started in Oct. '01)

Many posts point out that the recruiting goal for this year had been revised down, others pointed out that it had also been increased to increase the size of the Army (by 30,000, IIRC). I think this will provide a useful perspective. (For example, looking at the numbers the Army recruitment level was 92% of the level in the year following 9/11 (Oct.'01 - Oct.'02) I certainly wouldn't describe the numbers as "good", but how bad they are is certainly up for debate.)

Posted by Dorkafork at October 26, 2005 02:18 AM | TrackBack (1)

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Comments

Forget the percentages, the shortfall of >6,000 is pretty significant. I hope this is a temporary blip and not a trend.

How did the other branches do?

Posted by: Pigilito at October 26, 2005 05:55 AM

Well, after three years of brainwashing against the war in highschool, things starting to fall off now sounds about right.

Posted by: jpm100 at October 26, 2005 06:26 AM

I also wonder where the shortfalls are coming in - I would guess that the Army has no shortfall in terms of volunteers for combat positions, but rather in the administrative/technical positions that used to be taken by folks looking for money for college.

Posted by: Eric J at October 26, 2005 08:41 AM

Don't forget the impact of the economic recovery on recruiting. A significant number of potential recruits whose primary motivation is job, not service to country, pull back from enlisting when there are alternatives in the private sector.

Posted by: Dave [TypeKey Profile Page] at October 26, 2005 09:32 AM

IIRC the other branches are doing pretty well.

The Navy is a very safe assignment, and the Air Force has always been a huge draw because of the pilot training.

And of course the Marines are the "tip of the spear." Guys who really want to fight become jarheads.

Posted by: TallDave at October 26, 2005 09:48 AM

The GAO pdf I linked to has the numbers for the other services from 2000-2004. All I know about the current year is the other services have met their recruiting goals. (I'm under the impression that their goals were not reduced in any way.) The Marines missed some monthly recruiting goals (first time since 1995), but apparently managed to meet their yearly goals.

Posted by: dorkafork at October 26, 2005 02:47 PM

I would guess that the Army has no shortfall in terms of volunteers for combat positions, but rather in the administrative/technical positions that used to be taken by folks looking for money for college.

You're guess is correct. Unfortunately, I seem to have misplaced the relevant article.

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