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September 12, 2004
An Expert Goes on Record with an Unequivocal Judgment

Posted by Bill

First off, before I start getting a lot of the wrong kind of mail: I am not a fan of George Bush. But I am even less a fan of attempts to commit fraud, and particularly by a complete and utter failure of those we entrust to ensure that if the news is at least accurate. I know it is asking far too much to expect the news to be unbiased. But the people involved should not actually lie to us, or promulgate lies created by hoaxers, through their own incompetence.

There has been a lot of activity on the Internet recently concerning the forged CBS documents. I do not even dignify this statement with the traditional weasel-word “alleged”, because it takes approximately 30 seconds for anyone who is knowledgeable in the history of electronic document production to recognize this whole collection is certainly a forgery, and approximately five minutes to prove to anyone technically competent that the documents are a forgery. I was able to replicate two of the documents within a few minutes. At time I a writing this, CBS is stonewalling. They were hoaxed, pure and simple. CBS failed to exercise anything even approximately like due diligence. I am not sure what sort of "expert" they called in to authenticate the document, but anything I say about his qualifications to judge digital typography is likely to be considered libelous (no matter how true they are) and I would not say them in print in a public forum.

I am one of the pioneers of electronic typesetting. I was doing work with computer typesetting technology in 1972 (it actually started in late 1969), and I personally created one of the earliest typesetting programs for what later became laser printers, but in 1970 when this work was first done, lasers were not part of the electronic printer technology (my way of expressing this is “I was working with laser printers before they had lasers”, which is only a mild stretch of the truth).

...

The probability that any technology in existence in 1972 would be capable of producing a document that is nearly pixel-compatible with Microsoft’s Times New Roman font and the formatting of Microsoft Word, and that such technology was in casual use at the Texas Air National Guard, is so vanishingly small as to be indistinguishable from zero.

(Emphasis mine)

Read the whole, detailed thing. Case closed, as far as I am concerned.

And this via Allah:

As of this morning, the Boston Globe was still insisting that the memos could have been created on an IBM Selectric Composer. (In fact, their supposed source for that information says no such thing but we've been over that already.) Why not take a moment now to e-mail the link to Joseph Newcomer's analysis to the Globe's ombudsman and to CBS? Maybe we can inundate them with enough messages that they'll be forced to address it. Here's the contact info:

60 Minutes
60II@cbsnews.com

Christine Chinlund
ombud@globe.com

And here, for easy copy/pasting, is the Newcomer link: http://www.flounder.com/bush.htm

Please be brief and be polite.

Posted by Bill at September 12, 2004 07:40 PM | TrackBack (8)

Comments

So... when do Terry McAuliffe and Tom Harkin issue their apology statements?

Posted by: TallDave at September 12, 2004 07:42 PM

Great job Bill. Keep up the Good Work and bring down McCaullif.

Posted by: Jane at September 12, 2004 07:52 PM

Unfortunately, even with this kind of evidence, CBS is still going to "stand by" its story.

Jerks.

Posted by: Lornkanaga at September 12, 2004 08:08 PM

So, why has CBS been so silent when the evidence has been pouring in?

They aren't stupid. They can easily see what we all see. There is an obvious reason why we haven't heard a word from them since their facially inadequate counter-response (e.g., the first version of that font was invented in 1931; a very different sort of superscript that doesn't rise above the line was available in 1972).

Here's why the silence and delay.

They are meeing with their lawyers to see if a crime was committed. They are meeting with their lawyers to see if they can, or may, or must, reveal the source. They are meeting with their lawyers to see if they must make an SEC disclosure.

They are meeting internally to see whose careers are over. (Please include Jonathan "Pajamas" Klein.) They are meeting internally to argue over disclosing the source. They are meeting internally to decide how to word the retraction.

A public company that realizes it screwed up cannot issue half-truths. (Remember what happened to Martha Stewart?) CBS will not speak until they have all those issue ironed out. That's why the silence in the face of reality.

Here's my guess: within 48 hours, CBS will make a retraction that will be louder than the disappearance of Krakatoa.

Posted by: Johnny S at September 12, 2004 08:12 PM

Is the GOP going to make an issue of this? The MSM will drop it as soon they can. Someone has to nail someone to the wall for this.

Forgeries? In an attempt to manipulate a democratic election? Forgeries? I am still just astonished. I expect bias, but forgeries?

Did the DNC handle these papers or not? Did they go through the DNC on their way to CBS?

This can't just end here.

Posted by: Tom Vaughan at September 12, 2004 08:17 PM

Tom:

Another prediction. Forging an official government document is a crime. Once CBS retracts (and we've haven't heard from them because they are getting ready to make the mother of all retractions), then a US Attorney will open a grand jury investigation.

This will not go away. That explains CBS's silence. It will be interesting to see how many careers end and how many indictments come down.

This will play out for, I guess, three years.

Posted by: Johnny S at September 12, 2004 08:20 PM

Johnny,

Why does CBS have to come clean? Where is the pressure? From the internet? It's not getting big play in the papers or on TV. Why can't they just wait for it to blow over?

Posted by: Jim at September 12, 2004 08:27 PM

Thanks Bill ^^

Posted by: 13times at September 12, 2004 08:33 PM

I could be wrong, but this is what's prompting my prediction. Why has CBS been so silent for so long, as why is it not responding to the incredible level of detail publicly available on the web?

One hypothesis is that no CBS employees see what everyone else in seeing. I don't think that's plausible. More plausible to me is the possibility that in fact lots of people at CBS can see the obvious.

In that case, it takes a lot of time to get everything squared away. Let's see if I'm right. I'm putting the odds at 75% or greater that the silence from CBS is because they know what we all know. Also, if plenty of smart people at CBS see what is obvious to see, it means the end of some very important careers. Working through that is another reason for silence and some delay.

Posted by: Johnny S at September 12, 2004 08:36 PM

I'm kind of wondering if it's really a good idea to forward this to CSB and the Boston Globe. Judging from their past actions I wouldn't be surprised to have them take the following quote from Mr. Newcomer's opinion: "The font existed in 1972; there were technologies in 1972 that could... reproduce these memos"

Would anyone be shocked by this?

Posted by: JD at September 12, 2004 09:04 PM

Its just as well that CBS ignores this expert. If they quoted him it would be under the headline; DOCUMENTS PASS EXPERT SCRUTINY:: No evidence of Kerning.

Posted by: Damon at September 12, 2004 09:05 PM

JD - email your city paper as well as CBS and the Boston Globe - I just mailed the New York Daily News.

Posted by: JK Laslo at September 12, 2004 09:15 PM

Be careful, this guy is right on most of the facts, but wrong on one in particular:

However, Microsoft Word by default does not kern text. The text of the memo is not kerned.

Not true. This guy here shows kerning pairs in the memo - but not in output from the IBM Selectric Composer. We all know now there's that wierd option to turn kerning "on" - what that does we don't know, all we know is that the kerning embedded in Truetype fonts doesn't go away no matter how you set MS Word.

This expert goes on to say:

But kerning is complex, and computationally expensive, and therefore would have slowed down redisplay in a WYSIWYG editor.

I think this was definitely true when he was working on early laser technology - but is no longer the case. Kerning in MS Word and just about every other program is pretty bad and roughly done - but it's still there, to a degree.

Meanwhile, the kerning proves (again) the Selectric Composer can't make the memo.

Posted by: Jonas Cord at September 12, 2004 09:15 PM

Jonas: I think the article you cite agrees with Dr. Newcomer...he just calls it a different name.

The article you cite calls the effect "automatic Kerning"...I've read others calling it "internal kerning" of the font...whereas Dr. Newcomer calls it "pseudo-kerning" or the "characteristic of Microsoft TrueType fonts called the ABC dimensions."

I think if you read the entire article by Dr. Newcomer, you'll realize he is the one with the greatest degree of accuracy on this issue.

Posted by: Another Thought at September 12, 2004 09:35 PM

Dr. Newcomer's analysis definitely seals the deal. He is unequivocal in his conclusion, and doesn't seem afraid to go public with his analysis.

Of course, Dr. Newcomer also has the impeccable credentials to back up his analysis, and presents his analysis with very helpful graphics.

I'd say this guy is a real ace.

Posted by: Another Thought at September 12, 2004 09:37 PM

Wouldn't it be nice of a Republican 527 would run some sort of ad campaign on this, if CBS doesn't come clean?

Posted by: Another Thought at September 12, 2004 09:38 PM


Dr. Newcomer's analysis seems pretty conclusive, although his website design could use improvement. His page has a counter -- its' gotten about 1,000 hits in the last 15 minutes, so word is spreading fast.

Posted by: milowent at September 12, 2004 09:38 PM

milowent: I thought the same thing about Dr. Newcomer's web design! He might be a computer genius, but he hasn't devoted much attention to the aesthetics of his website!

This reminds me of an ace coder I once worked with...he is an absolute genius at writing code, but his website sucked. He is just so good and gets so much work through word of mouth that he doesn't need a snazzy website.

Posted by: Another Thought at September 12, 2004 09:42 PM

Don't forget to email that page to CBS's competitors too.

It's a lot easier for CBS and the Globe to ignore our emails than it would be to ignore a few Time and WaPo articles and relentless FNC and ABC televised news segments.

Posted by: Kermit Duncan at September 12, 2004 09:49 PM

Rumor has it their "unimpeachable source" is career Bush-hater Bill Burkett. If this is true, Rather will have to be fired. That would be an out-and-out lie.


Posted by: TallDave at September 12, 2004 10:29 PM

There is only one level of pressure that is going to matter, corporate. MSM is still not entirely sold that the cable outlets are legitimate journalists, so dont even think about the internet. There will be a point where the rats start jumping ships, and the other networks smell enough blood in the water that they cant resist the scandal. Its a race to see if CBS can weather the storm before that death cycle begins. I'd say 50/50 this is swept under the rug.

Posted by: Mark Buehner at September 12, 2004 10:34 PM

CBS has a few more things to mull over...

If the documents are real then the Family and the TANG can immediately call for an investigation to "discover" how CBS came into possession of them since they were not released through the freedom of information act nor did the Family give CBS permission to use them commercially. An investigation would require "discovery" whence CBS would be required by Federal law to produce all copies and the deliverer and identify the source(s)...

If the documents are fraudulent then the FBI can pursue all copies and information concerning source under Federal counterfeiting laws. Since they are military papers the DOD can get in the act also....

Either way CBS is in the poop....

I don't think this is going away...FOX has been hammering away at this all day in every news segment...The blood is in the water....

Amy Barnes went on with Rita Cosby in yet a third phone interview... She didn't hesitate to say that her father has lied before and is probably doing the same this time to promote his upcoming book and help get Kerry elected....Damning indeed...

Brit Hume bitchslapped CBS/Rather directly (paraphrasing) - [No self respecting News organization should ever be caught pressing the issue for something so blatantly fraudulent and partisan] ...

The only question is will CBS take the "Who knew" way out or go down with the swiftboat...

Either way, who in their right mind will ever take Rather seriously again... He's toast....

Posted by: Hunter at September 12, 2004 10:57 PM

I do agree that applying pressure to the corporations with moneyed interests will also help advance this story.

Does anyone know the contact data to Viacom, CBS' parent company?

Also, of course, there are the network sponsors.

Posted by: Another Thought at September 12, 2004 11:26 PM

lgf has a report of TIME going to the mat. Sheesh.

"But Bill Glennon, a technology consultant in New York City who worked for IBM repairing typewriters from 1973 to 1985, says those experts “are full of crap. They just don’t know.” Glennon says there were IBM machines capable of producing the spacing, and a customized key — the likes of which he says were not unusual — could have created the superscript th."

We've _already_ shot everything said in there down.

Posted by: Al at September 12, 2004 11:30 PM

Wow, kooks. A guy named "flounder" is goign to overturn Time Magazine, the Boston Globe and 60 Mintues. You blogger militias really are a joke! Is "flounder" another far right fascist freeper too???

The Ameircan people don't care about kerning you stupids! They care that Bush lied and a few "fake" memos (which I doubt are fake) are not going to stop the truth that Bush lied from getting out.

Posted by: Stop Bush! at September 12, 2004 11:32 PM

I think the question is no longer whether the docs are forgeries, but how soon lawsuits will be filed and whether a crime has been committed here. Beyond the obvious civil defamation and libel lawsuit against both CBS and the source, I would imagine there are criminal penalties for forging a U.S. military document, even one as trivial as a memo to self.

Posted by: TallDave at September 12, 2004 11:37 PM

Stop Bush!:

Thanks for posting. It's great to see the contrast between left and right in the thread.

Posted by: TallDave at September 12, 2004 11:38 PM

I'm curious at to whether anyone else has noticed the obvious speckle about lines of text in the copies at the USA Today site.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2004-09-09bushdocs.pdf

These seem to have been cleaned up in the copies at CBS News and FoxNews.

Photoshop or equivalent?

Posted by: Bob at September 12, 2004 11:39 PM

Talldave:

Let's play that thought out, because I, too, see litigation in the offing.

That's why I think CBS has gone into radio silence, even as other MSM have started to pick up on all the details revealed on the web. Why the radio silence? I think the internal doubting at CBS has reached the point where they realize they can't speak in error again.

That's why they told their expert he can't speak to the press. That's why we don't see new facts from CBS, or hear new theories from CBS.

They are very busy plotting the end game, and it won't be pretty at all: the end of careers, criminal investigations, etc.

I am sure lots of people within CBS see all that and are scrambling.

Posted by: Johnny S at September 13, 2004 12:04 AM

If we pull the forgeries out of the CBS story, Mr. Rather still gets to run with the fact that Bush was suspended from flight status for "failure to accomplish annual medical examination." (Hodges memo from personnel file, dated September 5, 1972, citing effective date of August 1. No mention of any "order" being disobeyed.)

I see no quarrel with the Hodges memo. There's nothing either new or exceptional here.

But Rather clearly wanted more: it seems that he wanted to allege that President Bush disobeyed a direct order, so he went public with the forged memos which support his case. And Rather seems to think that skipping the physical is his story, so he's sticking by it. But he's been overtaken by events: the day after broadcast, his story was the forged documents. Rather has forgotten that the story is whatever people make the story to be.

Even with the forgeries, there really isn't a story here: the President served and was honorably discharged. And there's no debate but that Senator Kerry served with honor in Vietnam.

But now CBS and USAToday have to explain why they've released different copies of the documents (USAToday apparently applied additional compression and included a couple additional docs. And now I can't find my links to any of these PDFs. Aargh.) They have to explain where they got them. And they must be pressed to provide whatever their original copies were (physical or digital) to be properly evaluated.

Posted by: Paul at September 13, 2004 12:04 AM

Yeah, the "you stupids" remark made laugh out my coffee.

Posted by: capt joe at September 13, 2004 12:07 AM

Perhaps someone could identify and publish the name of the gov’t department that would investigate and prosecute forgeries such as these, so concerned citizens could urge them to look into it.

Posted by: TallDave at September 13, 2004 12:16 AM

from powerlineblog:

http://www.hughhewitt.com/#postid893

Read the third e-mail.

If you can show the CBS memos are authentic, you could invalidate some of Apple's patents on TrueType technology (at least 1 of 5,155,805; 5,159,668; or 5,325,479).

Not only did Killian's typewriter do exactly what Microsoft Word does 30 years later, but it uses the same technology that Microsoft licenses from Apple, and that Apple invented starting in 1989.

Now THAT'S an amazing typewriter!!!

Posted by: fonter at September 13, 2004 12:26 AM

expect a concerted effort on part of DNC sympathizers and/or operatives to launch Denial-of-service attacks on the blogs which have been keeping this story going. their desperation has reached a level where anything is justified in getting Mr. Teresa Heinz Kerry into the Oval Office.

silencing these blogs would solve their problems very nicely, and left on its own the fraud could be swept under the rug within a couple news cycles. so where would you go to complain? "Letters to the editor" and emails to Ombudsmen? haw haw haw.. just like the Good Old Days.

Posted by: idi_amin at September 13, 2004 12:46 AM

I'm outraged that no one in the MSM is putting pressure on CBS. Is it because they all practice such unethical journalism? Am I living in an Orwelling nightmare? Seriously though, what is going on here? It is 100% clear to everyone that these documents are fake. Yet, the only decent reporting I can find on this scandal is from the blogs.

Has anyone taken any sort of action against CBS (legal, etc)? Is there anything we can do so that this just doesn't blow away in the wind?

Posted by: Hudson at September 13, 2004 03:03 AM

I suspect the reason the MSM aren't hammering the story is because they feel that the case for forgery has not been conclusively made. Some are probably still looking; others may have decided it's too muddled to run with fully.

The main problem is lack of original documents. Copying and transmitting documents - especially by digital methods - muddies the water too much for certainty in these matters.

Posted by: levelgaze at September 13, 2004 07:23 AM

I have a blog post here:
http://pajamapundit.blogspot.com/2004/09/more-fonts.html

It is the result of my experiments trying to reproduce the memo with different near derivatives of Times New Roman (Times Europa, Times Ten, Times New Roman PS, and Times). According to the true believers this should work since derivative fonts like the one for the IBM Selectric Composer share the same letter-spacing as the original.

Sadly (for them) this isn't the case.

Posted by: pajamapundit at September 13, 2004 10:55 AM

In the original statement change "hoaxed" to "willing participants", and "libelous" to "ludicrous". I think that would be the more accurate statement.

Posted by: Pete at September 13, 2004 04:31 PM

As to typesetting pioneers...I was involved in 1968 as my company did the General Motors Buick Division Service Manual --- first ever on electronic typesetting...we started with an IBM 1401 and subsequently used a IBM 360/30 with 65K splitting the master program in three phases after inputting change data from Flint MI to Cleveland OH and using a phototronic CRT from RCA in a patchwork process that evolved into what is used widely today from pc's on up.

Yeah, I am a pioneer some four years earlier, but the brains belonged to one Neil Block, my Vice President of Research who started earlier at Jet Propulsion Labs in CA.

Actually, the typesetting language used then is very much like HTML today.

Just a historical footnote of sort. Sigh! And Bill Gates got all the money....lol

Posted by: Rod Miller at September 18, 2004 06:14 PM